Building approvals increase 12 percent in July

The HomeBuilder program has been very positive for the detached
house sector, but the impact of this program is yet to be seen in ABS
approval data, HIA Chief Economist Tim Reardon says.

“The lift in detached house approvals in July is more likely reflect building
application lodgement and processing returning to normal after the shutdown,” Mr Reardon said.

The recent ABS Building Approvals data shows detached house approvals
are 2.8 per cent lower over the three months to July despite an 8 per cent
increase in the month of July.

From a very low base multi-unit approvals jumped 20.1 per cent in July,
but approvals in the three months to July remain 35 per cent below the level
a year earlier.

“The number of multi-unit approvals during the three months to July was still
the weakest three-month total since early 2012,” added Mr Reardon.

“Activity in this part of the market is likely to remain subdued until there is
greater certainty about the pathway for overseas migration to be restored.

“Over the past decade, metropolitan planning strategies have sought to
supply a greater share of new housing within the existing urban foot print and
the building industry has responded.

“At the peak of the cycle, multi-unit dwellings accounted for half of all new
homes approved.

“There has been significant investment in building the capacity
of the industry to deliver the higher density dwelling types that planning
systems have sought to provide.

“Until there is clarity on when overseas migration is restored there
will be an ongoing decline in multi-unit construction.

“Conditions in the markets for new detached houses and new multi-unit
dwellings will continue to diverge.

“The multi-unit market has been slowing since the start of 2018 and the
cessation of migration will compound this slowdown.

“The detached market will benefit from HomeBuilder and several other
state initiatives which will underpin work on the ground in the December quarter.

“New Home Sales data suggests that detached house approvals will increase
toward the end of the year,” Mr Reardon said.