Markets predict four RBA rate cuts by late 2025

WITH DANIEL WALSH AND LEIGH DELEDIO FROM UFINANCIAL

A potential series of rate cuts could save homeowners over $5,000 annually, but rising demand may complicate the path for first-home buyers.

The Australian financial landscape is on the brink of significant change, with markets predicting four interest rate cuts by August 2025. If these forecasts are correct, Aussies could see their mortgage payments drop by hundreds of dollars per month, providing much-needed financial relief.

According to the ASX Rate Tracker, the first rate cut of 0.25 per cent is expected in February 2025, followed by three more cuts over the year. This would bring the Reserve Bank of Australia’s cash rate down from its present 4.35 per cent to 3.35 per cent. For the average mortgage of $641,143, a 1 per cent reduction could save homeowners approximately $423 per month, or more than $5,000 annually.

While these cuts will likely ease pressure for existing homeowners, there are concerns about the impact on the broader property market. Lower borrowing costs could reignite demand, potentially driving up housing prices and making it more difficult for first-home buyers to enter the market.

For those with fixed-rate mortgages, the benefit may not be immediate, but refinancing opportunities could become more attractive as rates drop. However, it’s important to note these forecasts are not guarantees—economic conditions could still shift, so homeowners are encouraged to explore their options and remain proactive about managing their finances.

Stay tuned as we continue to monitor these developments and provide updates on how interest rate changes could affect you.

If you would like to speak to a broker, you can phone Surf Coast local Daniel Walsh on 0437 508 310 or head to ufinancial.com.au